California can move forward with a new U.S. House map that would boost Democrats’ chances in the 2026 midterms, a federal court ruled Wednesday. A three-judge panel in Los Angeles ruled 2-1 to deny requests from both state Republicans and the Department of Justice (DOJ) to block the map, giving Democrats a realistic chance at flipping up to five House seats in the midterm election.
California voters passed a ballot initiative, known as Proposition 50, in November, dramatically altering the state’s congressional districts. The pursuit of the new map was largely viewed as an attempt to offset recent redistricting in Texas, which generated more Republican-leaning districts. The complaint challenging California’s efforts to redraw the state’s congressional map argued that race was “used as a proxy” to justify creating districts that benefit Democrats. California Democrats argued that the map was legal because it was drawn for partisan advantage.
In 2019, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that partisan gerrymandering is a political question and not one for federal courts to decide. On Wednesday, the California panel sided with the state’s argument, saying there was insufficient evidence that the maps were drawn based on race. U.S. District Judge Kenneth Lee, an appointee of President Donald Trump, dissented, stating that at least one district was drawn using race as a factor “to curry favor with Latino groups and voters.” Republicans are expected to appeal the decision to the Supreme Court.
California Gov. Gavin Newsom praised the court’s decision, stating, “Republicans’ weak attempt to silence voters failed.” California Attorney General Rob Bonta said, “Californians overwhelmingly voted in favor of Proposition 50. Today’s decision upholds the will of the people.”
Last year, Missouri moved forward with congressional redistricting that favors Republicans, and North Carolina’s Republican-controlled legislature signed off on a new map that may lead to an additional congressional victory for the GOP. To retake control of the House in the midterms, Democrats need to pick up only a handful of seats. Republicans currently hold a narrow majority with 218 seats to Democrats’ 213.
House maps are typically redrawn every 10 years following the census, and the process rarely takes place mid-decade. California relies on an independent commission to draw maps, while other states, including Texas, allow lawmakers to lead the effort.
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